NASA Langley CLAMS Satellite Page
Chesapeake Lighthouse and Aircraft Measurements for Satellites

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1137 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009

PASQUOTANK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETH CITY
1137 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2009
.THIS AFTERNOON...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.VETERANS DAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 60. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

             

FXUS61 KAKQ 071747                                              2009311 1747
AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1247 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BECOME CENTERED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BEFORE
SLIDING OFF THE COAST TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF
THE EAST COAST THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH DEBRIS CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE RGN ASSOCD WITH THE NOSE OF AN
UPR LVL JET MAX (H50-30 LVLS). OTHERWISE...M/S SKIES WILL PREVAIL
THIS AFTN WITH HIGHS IN THE UPR 50S ALONG THE COAST TO THE LOW/MID
60S INLAND.
SKIES CLEAR OUT TONIGHT...WITH MORE TYPICAL LOWS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR (UPR 30S TO LOW 40S) FOR TONIGHT UNDER MAINLY CLEAR SKIES.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SUNDAY...
ANOTHER VERY NICE WX DAY ON SUNDAY...AS THE UPR RIDGE DEEPENS
ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR
WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE. EXPECTING HIGHS IN THE MID-UPR 60S
ALONG THE COAST TO THE LWR 70S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA. CLEAR
AND SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE U30S
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT/INTERIOR EASTERN SHORE...TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE.
MONDAY...
ANOTHER GENERALLY BENIGN...PLEASANT WX DAY IN STORE FOR THE RGN
ON MONDAY AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS JUST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST BUT CONTINUES TO DOMINATE WX ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPS ONCE
AGAIN IN THE LOWER 70S FOR MOST INLAND ZONES...UPPER 60S/NR70
ALONG THE COAST UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO ARISE IN THE MODELS DURING THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. THE GFS HASN'T HAD THE BEST RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY OF
LATE...AND AT 12Z DEPARTED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE 06Z RUN/ENSEMBLE
MEAN. BY NEXT TUE...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW A DEVELOPING LOW
IN THE GULF (SRN STREAM WAVE)...HOWEVER OVER TIME (THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK) THE GFS SHOWS THE LOW GRADUALLY MIGRATING LOW OFF THE
FL/GA COAST...WHILE THE ECMWF IS FARTHER S WITH THE DEEP-LAYER
RIDGING AND (THUS) THE LOW TRACK. FOR NOW...WILL LEAN TOWARD THE
MORE CONSISTENT ECWMF...THOUGH WILL TREND WITH A LITTLE MORE CLOUD
COVER OVER SRN PTNS OF THE FCST AREA TUE-FRI. OTHERWISE...FOLLOWING
MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES WITH THE FRONT TUE/TUE NGT...HAVE OPTED TO
KEEP A DRY FCST GOING WED-FRI. TEMPS SEASONABLE...AROUND 5-10F ABV
NORMAL TUE (MID 60S TO LWR 70S)...THOUGH CLOSER TO CLIMO WED-FRI
(LOW-MID 60S).
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING S FROM A LOW OVER SRN CANADA HAS
INCREASED BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. S TO SW
WINDS INCREASED TO AROUND 10 KTS BY 17Z. MIXING OF THESE WINDS MAY
PRODUCE GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KTS AT RIC AND SBY AND THEN DIMINISH TO
AROUND 5 TO 8 KTS AROUND SUNSET. WINDS BECOME LGT AND VARIABLE SUN
AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER THE SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD AROUND THE
TAF SITES.
VFR WL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD AND BEYOND. A WEAK COLD FRONT
MOVES ACRS THE AREA TUE AFTN/EVNG BRINGING A SLGT CHC OF PCPN WITH
IT. HI PRES BUILDS INTO THE AREA FM THE W WED.
&&
.MARINE...
FOR THE MOST PART...MARINE WEATHER WILL BE RATHER TRANQUIL NEXT FEW
DAYS. EXCEPTION WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MUCH OF
TONIGHT...WHEN SLY WINDS ON THE BAY WILL COME CLOSE TO SCA CRITERIA.
WHILE SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATES MARGINAL SCA WILL BE
NEEDED...WILL KEEP WINDS JUST BELOW SCA FOR NOW...AND DAY SHIFT CAN
MAKE FINAL DETERMINATION. WINDS ON THE OCEAN WILL REMAIN BLO SCA
CRITERIA...BUT WILL INCREASE TO 15 KT OR SO FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. WINDS DROP OFF ON SUNDAY...WITH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY LOOKING VERY NICE FOR MARINERS. NEXT FRONT
MOVES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY/WED...WITH A NLY/NWLY SURGE LIKELY BEHIND
FNT. THAT WILL BE THE NEXT SOLID CHANCE FOR SCAS MARINE AREA WIDE.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...MAM
NEAR TERM...CCW/MAM
SHORT TERM...MAM
LONG TERM...BKH
AVIATION...LSA
MARINE...WRS